marine weather discussion for N Pacific Ocean

NWS ocean prediction center Washington DC

1156 am PST Sat 7 Nov 2009

.Forecast discussion: major features/winds/seas/significant

.Weather for the North Pacific N of 30n and E of 150w.

The pattern across the offshore waters will remain very

progressive ovr pz5 waters while fronts press S into CA waters

and weaken. Latest scat pass indicates 20-30 kt winds across pz5

waters. Recent obs ovr mim area tend to be several ft greater

than ww3 fcst...therefor in next pkg will make needed adjustemt

to ww3. 12z GFS is in pretty good agreement with prv run with

only minor changes. Expect next chance for gales on Sun night

inadv of frontal bndry. The global models are also in reasonable

agreement...although ECMWF is further SW with low center Sun

night along the frontal bndry. Further S...the largest influence

on the weather conditions will be the strength of the gradient

along the CA CST. Attm I expect to keep Max winds to 30 kt along

srn CA. A ridge of high pres will dominate much of the central

CA wates and lighter winds will result.

.Warnings/forecast confidence...Warnings are preliminary and are

subject to change. Any changes will be coordinated through AWIPS

12 planet chat or by telephone.

.Pz5 Washington/Oregon waters...

.Cape Flattery to Cape Lookout...gale Sun night and Mon...MDT

confdc. Gale Wed...low cnfdc.

.Cape Lookout to point St George...Gale Sun night and Mon...MDT

confdc. Gale Wed...low cnfdc.

.Pz6 California waters...

.Pt St George to pt Arena...none.

.Pt Arena to pt Conception...None.

.Pt Conception to Guadalupe island...None.

.Forecaster Shaw. Ocean forecast branch.