530 
fxus64 klub 232037 
afdlub 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Lubbock Texas 
337 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 23 2008 


Short term... 
subsidence associated with upper level high over the Southern 
Plains will provide for mostly sunny skies area wide today and 
keep the temperatures on the warm side especially off The Caprock. 
Additional cloudiness associated with the remnants of Hurricane 
Dolly may creep into southern portions of the County Warning Area on Thursday. 
Anticipate the extra cloudiness may temper afternoon highs a 
couple of degrees in the south. 


26 


&& 


Long term... 
key question is what will happen with the remnants of Dolly. 
12z GFS run pulls the remnant circulation around the high pressure 
ridge over the northern Texas and OK panhandles. If this track pans 
out...we will see an increase in cloud cover and low/middle level 
moisture which will both help to hold temperatures down from the 
weekend into the first part of next week. Could also see an 
increase in rain chances as well. 12z European model (ecmwf) and GFS ensemble 
members do lend some credence to this possibility. However...this 
is the first set of runs where the models try to bring this 
feature around the high towards the region and will not bite off 
on the solution just yet. 


Jordan 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Friona 63 91 66 91 66 / 0 0 10 10 10 
Tulia 65 93 69 93 69 / 0 0 10 10 10 
Plainview 66 92 69 93 69 / 0 0 0 10 10 
Levelland 67 95 69 91 70 / 0 0 10 10 10 
Lubbock 68 94 70 93 71 / 0 0 10 10 10 
Denver City 67 95 70 90 69 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Brownfield 68 94 71 91 70 / 0 10 10 10 10 
Childress 70 99 73 98 73 / 0 0 0 10 0 
spur 70 96 74 97 73 / 0 10 10 10 10 
Aspermont 72 97 75 98 73 / 10 10 10 10 10 


&& 


Lub watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


26/14