862 
fxus63 klbf 130858 
afdlbf 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service North Platte NE 
358 am CDT Monday Oct 13 2008 


Synopsis... 
cold front has pushed into eastern Nebraska early this morning. 
Clearing skies has begun to push into the Panhandle. Meanwhile 
over the County Warning Area a rain shield continued to produce light to moderate 
rainfall to the area which is slowly shifting onto the east. 


&& 


Discussion... 
timing the end of precipitation and lows Tuesday morning will be primary 
concern. First off with current temperatures in 30s...will not take much 
in decreasing of the clouds to drop...radiate...to or below 
freezing...especially across northwest zones early this morning. Ending 
the precipitation is a little more tricker...as redevelopment of training 
cells continues to the southwest. Have timed back edge precipitation 
based on model consensus quantitative precipitation forecast...which is in good agreement. 


Then will see a seasonal afternoon with decreasing clouds from 
west to east. As long as sky stays cloud free into Tuesday 
night...temperatures to plummet. The office has passed the issue date of 
frost or freeze advisories/warnings...so no headline...but will 
include widespread/areas of frost in the grids as widespread temperatures 
fall into the upper 20s. Only caveat to a freeze or hard 
freeze...would be recent rains soaking the ground...and helping to 
keep ground warmer. 


By Tuesday night...the next system ejects across The Rockies. This 
expected track will keep the precis in Kansas...and with less 
clouds will allow more sun with areas to the north a few degrees 
above the south. 


For the remainder of the week...weak ridging will develop over The 
Rockies and allow for warmer temperatures and dry conditions to push into 
the region. Highs warming to near 70 degrees will be possible by 
the weekend. 


&& 


Aviation... 
the north south oriented line of rain...showers and MVFR 
across north central Nebraska move slowly east this morning and exit 
the area by noon CDT. VFR conditions will continue to spread east. 


Tonight...high pressure...clear skies and VFR. 


&& 


Lbf watches/warnings/advisories...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Masek/cdc