694 
fxus62 kmlb 211413 
afdmlb 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida 
912 am EST Sat Nov 21 2009 


Discussion... 


..threat for rip currents will continue through the weekend... 


Current-today...cloud cover has kept radiational cooling at a 
minimum overnight negating early morning fog potential across much 
of east central Florida. Some lower stratus near klee & kism will 
continue to decrease through the morning leaving a mainly high 
broken-overcast sky. GFS remains consistent in lowering pop chances 
today so will not make any changes from the previous forecast 
package. Have already updated the zones once to take out morning fog 
mention but may have to do so again to increase cloud cover...though 
it will be mainly high cirrus type clouds. Highs in the upper 70s to 
lower 80s. 


Tonight...(previous)...the low pressure center is still prognosticated to 
slowly move northeast and weaken a little as a shortwave trough 
lifts out across the southeast states. Gradually increasing 
southerly low level flow will increase the depth of moisture. 
However...large scale ascent and pre frontal convergence should stay 
to our north and northwest. Will hold onto inherited small shower 
chances...which actually agree with the latest MOS values. 


&& 


Aviation...anticipated fog this morning did not occur as forecast due 
to cloud cover overhead reducing maximum radiational cooling overnight. 
Low ceilings at kism/klee should break shortly...otherwise VFR with 
mainly high overcast. 


&& 


Marine...today/tonight...east/northeast swells still persistent 
around 4.3 feet at buoy 41009 this morning. North-northeast winds 
expected to veer more to the northeast through this afternoon at or below 10 
kts. Winds will continue to veer to the southeast late this evening 
and overnight. No cautionary statements or advisories are in effect. 


&& 


Mlb watches/warnings/advisories... 
Florida...none. 
Am...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Sedlock/cristaldi