715 
fxus62 ktae 240103 
afdtae 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tallahassee Florida 
910 PM EDT Wednesday Jul 23 2008 


Synopsis...the once large area of showers and thunderstorms over 
the County Warning Area continues to gradually dissipate as it moves to the south 
this evening...with any stronger storms remaining further to our 
north. With the diminishing activity...the current 30 percent probability of precipitation 
across the board still looks valid...but may update in an hour or 
two if the remaining light to moderate rain falls apart. Over the 
coastal waters...wind speeds continue very light but the direction 
has shifted to the northwest. Also...despite moving inland over Texas...swells 
from Dolly continue to impact the western legs of our marine area... 
and latest indications suggest that these swells could continue well 
into Thursday. Therefore...will raise seas a bit to account for the 
swell component. 


&& 


Aviation...widely scattered showers and an occasional thunderstorm 
manage to hold together in the early evening and may continue into 
the overnight hours...but VFR conditions should prevail at all sites 
after 03z as showers diminish. Due to the amount of precipitation 
received across the area today...early morning reductions in visible due 
to br are likely at all terminals except kpfn...so included tempos 
for MVFR visibilities that should lift by 13z. Thursday...showers and 
storms will start up mid-morning...with the easternmost sites having 
the highest chance of thunderstorms...thus the tempos for IFR visibilities 
and MVFR ceilings at kvld and ktlh...and MVFR tempos everywhere else 
during the afternoon. 


&& 


Tae watches/warnings/advisories... 
Alabama...none. 
Georgia...none. 
Florida...none. 
GM...none. 


&& 


$$ 


Gould/Gibbs/Rubio